Birmingham Legionvs
Loudoun United
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 10/18/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Birmingham Legion · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Birmingham Legion 0-0 Loudoun United
Original prediction
Birmingham Legion
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 46.9% | 47.7% | 0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 24.3% | 23.5% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.17 | 28.8% | 28.8% | 0.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.75 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Birmingham Legion
Probability
47.7%
Model confidence
47.7%
Birmingham Legion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00