Birmingham Legionvs
Indy Eleven
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 4/19/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Birmingham Legion are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Indy Eleven are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Indy Eleven hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (43.9 v 50.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.0% in the USL Championship, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20