GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 4/19/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Birmingham Legion are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Indy Eleven are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Indy Eleven hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (43.9 v 50.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.0% in the USL Championship, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.0%

Model confidence

39.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Birmingham LegionWDLDL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Indy ElevenWDDWL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Birmingham LegionIndy Eleven
37.0Attack38.9
55.6Defence61.1
31.5Form46.3
43.9Power50.9
0.90xG0.97
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