Birmingham Legionvs
Charleston Battery
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 9/12/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Charleston Battery · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Birmingham Legion 2-2 Charleston Battery
Original prediction
Charleston Battery
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.30 | 27.7% | 22.6% | -5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.4% | 22.1% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 1.91 | 47.9% | 55.3% | 7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.73 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Charleston Battery
Probability
55.3%
Model confidence
55.3%
Charleston Battery has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00