Birmingham Legionvs
Brooklyn
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 9/23/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Birmingham Legion · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Birmingham Legion 4-0 Brooklyn
Original prediction
Birmingham Legion
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 55.1% | 55.4% | 0.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.00 | 22.8% | 21.8% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 4.11 | 22.1% | 22.8% | 0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.65 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Birmingham Legion
Probability
55.4%
Model confidence
55.4%
Birmingham Legion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 15 · avg 2.00/3.00
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00