Birmingham City Wvs
Crystal Palace W
COMPLETEDEngland · FA WSL · 9/27/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Birmingham City W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Birmingham City W 3-3 Crystal Palace W
Original prediction
Birmingham City W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 09:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 53.4% | 43.4% | -10.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 25.3% | 25.9% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 4.28 | 21.3% | 30.7% | 9.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.61 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Birmingham City W
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
43.4%
Birmingham City W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60