Birmingham City Wvs
Charlton Athletic W
COMPLETEDEngland · FA WSL · 10/25/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Birmingham City W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Birmingham City W 1-0 Charlton Athletic W
Original prediction
Birmingham City W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 57.7% | 54.3% | -3.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.99 | 23.0% | 22.9% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 4.76 | 19.3% | 22.9% | 3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Birmingham City W
Probability
54.3%
Model confidence
54.3%
Birmingham City W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40