Birmingham City U21vs
Huddersfield Town U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League Cup · 10/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Birmingham City U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Birmingham City U21 2-4 Huddersfield Town U21
Original prediction
Birmingham City U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.04 | 44.6% | 38.8% | -5.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.99 | 22.8% | 24.7% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.78 | 32.6% | 36.4% | 3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Birmingham City U21
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Birmingham City U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80