Birkirkaravs
Valletta FC
COMPLETEDMalta · Premier League · 10/10/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Valletta FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Birkirkara 0-2 Valletta FC
Original prediction
Valletta FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.96 | 30.6% | 33.6% | 2.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.10 | 29.3% | 28.0% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.27 | 40.1% | 38.5% | -1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.27 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Valletta FC
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Valletta FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80