Birkirkaravs
Hibernians
COMPLETEDMalta · Premier League · 9/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Birkirkara · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Birkirkara 1-0 Hibernians, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Birkirkara 1-1 Hibernians
Original prediction
Birkirkara
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 44.9% | 46.0% | 1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.5% | 28.2% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.28 | 27.6% | 25.8% | -1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.30 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.1 pts
Projected Score
Birkirkara 1–0 Hibernians
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Birkirkara
Probability
46.0%
Model confidence
46.0%
Birkirkara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BirkirkaraLLWWL
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
HiberniansLDLWL
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
BirkirkaraHibernians
50.0Attack25.0
75.0Defence66.7
50.0Form33.3
57.2Power43.3
1.30xG0.75