Binh Duongvs
Than Quang Ninh
COMPLETEDVietnam · V.League 2 · 10/27/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Binh Duong · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Binh Duong 4-0 Than Quang Ninh
Original prediction
Binh Duong
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 02:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.61 | 55.3% | 48.0% | -7.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 25.0% | 27.1% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 4.50 | 19.8% | 25.0% | 5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.61 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Binh Duong
Probability
48.0%
Model confidence
48.0%
Binh Duong has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80