Binh Duongvs
Thai Nguyen
COMPLETEDVietnam · V.League 2 · 10/23/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Binh Duong · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Binh Duong 2-3 Thai Nguyen
Original prediction
Binh Duong
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 19:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.22 | 40.1% | 35.9% | -4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.1% | 28.3% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.81 | 31.8% | 35.8% | 4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Binh Duong
Probability
35.9%
Model confidence
35.9%
Binh Duong has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/0.67