Binh Duongvs
Lam Dong
COMPLETEDVietnam · V.League 2 · 10/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Binh Duong · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Binh Duong 3-1 Lam Dong
Original prediction
Binh Duong
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.18 | 77.9% | 49.4% | -28.5 pts |
| Draw | 5.75 | 16.0% | 26.6% | 10.6 pts |
| Away | 15.00 | 6.1% | 24.0% | 17.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.18 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-28.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–014%
Predicted outcome
Binh Duong
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
Binh Duong has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
GF 0 · GA 3 · avg 0.00/1.50