Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Binfield · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Binfield are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 5.00 conceded, while Deal Town are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Deal Town hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the FA Trophy, while Binfield holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Binfield
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Binfield has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 25 · avg 0.80/5.00
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00