Billericay Townvs
Tonbridge Angels
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Billericay Town · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Billericay Town 2-2 Tonbridge Angels
Original prediction
Billericay Town
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.21 | 41.1% | 42.2% | 1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 27.9% | 27.3% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.92 | 31.1% | 30.5% | -0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.25 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Billericay Town
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
42.2%
Billericay Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20