Billericay Townvs
Farnborough
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Billericay Town · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Billericay Town 4-0 Farnborough
Original prediction
Billericay Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 54.2% | 50.3% | -3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.96 | 22.9% | 25.8% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 3.98 | 22.9% | 23.9% | 1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Billericay Town
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
50.3%
Billericay Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80