Billericay Townvs
Braintree
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 9/15/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Billericay Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Billericay Town 3-2 Braintree
Original prediction
Billericay Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 54.8% | 47.6% | -7.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.83 | 23.6% | 26.0% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 4.19 | 21.6% | 26.3% | 4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.65 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
Billericay Town
Probability
47.6%
Model confidence
47.6%
Billericay Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80