Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bilje · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 3-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bilje 0-2 Jesenice
Original prediction
Bilje
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.48 | 35.9% | 52.6% | 16.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.1% | 23.3% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 2.34 | 38.0% | 24.1% | -14.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.3–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Bilje
Probability
52.6%
Model confidence
52.6%
Bilje has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BiljeWWLLW
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
JeseniceWLWWD
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
BiljeJesenice
50.0Attack28.9
16.7Defence24.4
50.0Form20.0
42.7Power27.0
2.55xG0.84