Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dekani · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bilje 2-0 Dekani
Original prediction
Dekani
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.46 | 25.7% | 29.3% | 3.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 25.8% | 28.0% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 1.84 | 48.4% | 42.7% | -5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Dekani
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Dekani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BiljeLLWWL
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
DekaniWWDDD
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 0.60/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
BiljeDekani
50.0Attack66.7
16.7Defence100.0
50.0Form100.0
42.7Power89.7
1.24xG1.83