Bihor Oradeavs
FC Bacau
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga II · 10/11/2026, 12:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Bacau · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bihor Oradea 1-0 FC Bacau
Original prediction
FC Bacau
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 50.0% | 32.0% | -18.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.9% | 24.0% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 3.76 | 24.1% | 44.0% | 19.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
19.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
FC Bacau
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
FC Bacau has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20