GGOALVIO

England · FA Trophy · 9/25/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Biggleswade · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Biggleswade 1-3 Three Bridges

Original prediction

Biggleswade

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.1142.6%42.8%0.2 pts
Draw3.6524.6%25.0%0.4 pts
Away2.7332.9%32.2%-0.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

0.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–19%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.2–27%

Predicted outcome

Biggleswade

Probability

42.8%

Model confidence

42.8%

Biggleswade has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BiggleswadeWDLLD

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Three BridgesDLLLW

GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BiggleswadeThree Bridges
100.0Attack100.0
33.3Defence50.0
100.0Form50.0
81.3Power62.5
2.12xG1.66
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