Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Šumperk · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Břidličná are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Šumperk are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Šumperk hold a 20.5-point power-rating edge (34.9 v 55.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.1% in the 4. liga - Divizie F, while Šumperk holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Šumperk
Probability
65.1%
Model confidence
65.1%
Šumperk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40