Bicskeivs
Pápai Perutz
COMPLETEDHungary · NB III - Northwest · 10/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bicskei · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 4-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bicskei 2-0 Pápai Perutz
Original prediction
Bicskei
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.62 | 55.5% | 61.9% | 6.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.11 | 21.9% | 19.5% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 4.00 | 22.5% | 18.7% | -3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.62 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.4–18%
Predicted outcome
Bicskei
Probability
61.9%
Model confidence
61.9%
Bicskei has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40