Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
MTE 1904 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bicskei 0-0 MTE 1904
Original prediction
MTE 1904
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.50 | 25.7% | 34.3% | 8.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 24.0% | 24.5% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 1.79 | 50.2% | 41.2% | -9.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.75 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–28%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
MTE 1904
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
MTE 1904 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BicskeiLWLLW
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MTE 1904WDLLD
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BicskeiMTE 1904
80.0Attack50.0
23.3Defence60.0
50.0Form50.0
52.7Power53.5
2.08xG2.13