GGOALVIO

Indonesia · Liga 1 · 10/26/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bhayangkara FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Bhayangkara FC 0-0 PSM Makassar

Original prediction

Bhayangkara FC

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7751.4%54.6%3.2 pts
Draw3.5026.0%22.7%-3.3 pts
Away4.0322.6%22.7%0.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.50 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

3.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–110%
  2. 2.1–110%
  3. 3.2–08%

Predicted outcome

Bhayangkara FC

Probability

54.6%

Model confidence

54.6%

Bhayangkara FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bhayangkara FCWDDWD

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PSM MakassarWWLDD

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Bhayangkara FCPSM Makassar
61.1Attack50.0
55.6Defence33.3
55.6Form44.4
59.9Power45.6
2.22xG1.20
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