Bhayangkara FCvs
PSIM Yogyakarta
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 1 · 10/20/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bhayangkara FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bhayangkara FC 1-0 PSIM Yogyakarta
Original prediction
Bhayangkara FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.62 | 56.0% | 59.2% | 3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 24.9% | 22.0% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 4.75 | 19.1% | 18.8% | -0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.62 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–010%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Bhayangkara FC
Probability
59.2%
Model confidence
59.2%
Bhayangkara FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00