Bhayangkara FCvs
Persebaya Surabaya
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 1 · 9/5/2026, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bhayangkara FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bhayangkara FC 1-1 Persebaya Surabaya
Original prediction
Bhayangkara FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.36 | 38.7% | 39.8% | 1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 28.2% | 27.5% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.75 | 33.2% | 32.7% | -0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.24 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Bhayangkara FC
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Bhayangkara FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 11 · avg 2.80/2.20
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40