GGOALVIO

World · ASEAN Club Championship · 1/8/2025, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

BG Pathum United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

BG Pathum United are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Thanh Hóa are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 2.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and BG Pathum United hold an 11.5-point power-rating edge (57.6 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the ASEAN Club Championship, while BG Pathum United holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

BG Pathum United

Probability

48.9%

Model confidence

48.9%

BG Pathum United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BG Pathum UnitedWDWWW

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Thanh HóaDW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 2.50/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
BG Pathum UnitedThanh Hóa
60.0Attack40.0
53.3Defence53.3
53.3Form40.0
57.6Power46.1
1.87xG1.22
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