GGOALVIO

World · ASEAN Club Championship · 9/25/2024, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

BG Pathum United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

BG Pathum United are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Svay Rieng are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Svay Rieng hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (57.6 v 60.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.5% in the ASEAN Club Championship, while BG Pathum United holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

BG Pathum United

Probability

35.5%

Model confidence

35.5%

BG Pathum United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BG Pathum UnitedDWWWW

GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Svay RiengWLWWW

GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BG Pathum UnitedSvay Rieng
60.0Attack60.0
53.3Defence66.7
53.3Form53.3
57.6Power60.1
1.56xG1.55
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