BFC Preussenvs
Hertha BSC II
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nordost · 10/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
BFC Preussen · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
BFC Preussen 1-1 Hertha BSC II
Original prediction
BFC Preussen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.09 | 43.1% | 53.6% | 10.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.04 | 22.3% | 23.5% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.60 | 34.6% | 22.9% | -11.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.04 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.2–013%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
BFC Preussen
Probability
53.6%
Model confidence
53.6%
BFC Preussen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60