BFC Preussenvs
Altglienicke
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nordost · 10/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Altglienicke · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
BFC Preussen 1-3 Altglienicke
Original prediction
Altglienicke
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.54 | 25.4% | 23.2% | -2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.93 | 22.9% | 21.7% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 1.74 | 51.7% | 55.1% | 3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.74 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Altglienicke
Probability
55.1%
Model confidence
55.1%
Altglienicke has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00