BFC Dynamovs
Chemnitzer FC
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nordost · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chemnitzer FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
BFC Dynamo 1-1 Chemnitzer FC
Original prediction
Chemnitzer FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.92 | 30.8% | 26.5% | -4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 23.3% | 23.3% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 1.96 | 45.9% | 50.2% | 4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.87 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Chemnitzer FC
Probability
50.2%
Model confidence
50.2%
Chemnitzer FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60