BFC Daugavpilsvs
Super Nova
COMPLETEDLatvia · Virsliga · 4/1/2023, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
BFC Daugavpils · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
BFC Daugavpils are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Super Nova are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and BFC Daugavpils hold an 8.0-point power-rating edge (51.0 v 43.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the Virsliga, while BFC Daugavpils holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
BFC Daugavpils
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
48.9%
BFC Daugavpils has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80