BFC DaugavpilsvsRiga

BFC Daugavpils are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Riga are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Riga hold a 32.5-point power-rating edge (51.0 v 83.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.7% in the Virsliga, while Riga holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.