GGOALVIO

BFC Daugavpils logoBFC DaugavpilsvsRīgas FS logoRīgas FS

COMPLETED

Latvia · Virsliga · 5/13/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rīgas FS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2

Mediumconfidence

BFC Daugavpils are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Rīgas FS are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Rīgas FS hold a 30.3-point power-rating edge (51.0 v 81.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.9% in the Virsliga, while Rīgas FS holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rīgas FS

Probability

66.4%

Model confidence

13.9%

Rīgas FS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BFC DaugavpilsLDLDW

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Rīgas FSWWDWW

GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
BFC DaugavpilsRīgas FS
42.3Attack82.7
60.3Defence77.3
46.2Form86.7
51.0Power81.2
0.68xG1.97
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