BFC DaugavpilsvsGrobiņa

BFC Daugavpils are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Grobiņa are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and BFC Daugavpils hold an 18.4-point power-rating edge (51.0 v 32.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.4% in the Virsliga, while BFC Daugavpils holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.