BFC Daugavpilsvs
Auda
COMPLETEDLatvia · Cup · 9/2/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Auda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-1 (7%), 1-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
BFC Daugavpils 2-2 Auda
Original prediction
Auda
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.35 | 27.3% | 35.7% | 8.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 27.1% | 24.9% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.00 | 45.6% | 39.4% | -6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.1–26%
Predicted outcome
Auda
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Auda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BFC DaugavpilsLDWWW
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AudaDWWWL
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
BFC DaugavpilsAuda
100.0Attack66.7
33.3Defence66.7
66.7Form100.0
68.0Power83.3
2.32xG2.26