BFC Daugavpilsvs
Auda
COMPLETEDLatvia · Virsliga · 10/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Auda · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: BFC Daugavpils 0-0 Auda, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
BFC Daugavpils 2-1 Auda
Original prediction
Auda
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.86 | 31.6% | 27.0% | -4.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.5% | 27.3% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.10 | 43.0% | 45.7% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.7 pts
Projected Score
BFC Daugavpils 0–0 Auda
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Auda
Probability
45.7%
Model confidence
45.7%
Auda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BFC DaugavpilsWDLDD
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AudaWDWDW
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
BFC DaugavpilsAuda
38.5Attack54.2
62.5Defence66.7
43.8Form66.7
49.9Power63.3
0.80xG1.17