Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tauras · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
BFA are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Tauras are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Tauras hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (52.3 v 62.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.9% in the 1 Lyga, while Tauras holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tauras
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
46.9%
Tauras has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40