GGOALVIO

Lithuania · 1 Lyga · 3/11/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

BFA · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

BFA are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Panevėžys II have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet. Both teams scored in 2 of those 2 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and BFA hold an 11.4-point power-rating edge (52.3 v 40.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.8% in the 1 Lyga, while BFA holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

BFA

Probability

53.8%

Model confidence

53.8%

BFA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BFADL

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
Panevėžys IINo completed matches

GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00

BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
BFAPanevėžys II
50.9Attack50.0
49.1Defence34.4
54.4Form34.4
52.3Power40.9
2.25xG1.35
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