BFAvs
FA Šiauliai II
COMPLETEDLithuania · 1 Lyga · 3/17/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
BFA · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
BFA are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while FA Šiauliai II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and BFA hold a 24.5-point power-rating edge (52.3 v 27.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.0% in the 1 Lyga, while BFA holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
BFA
Probability
75.4%
Model confidence
12.0%
BFA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20