Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dainava · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
BFA are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Dainava are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Dainava hold an 11.0-point power-rating edge (52.3 v 63.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.8% in the 1 Lyga, while Dainava holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dainava
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
48.8%
Dainava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00