Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Babrungas · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (13%), 1-1 (13%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
BFA 2-1 Babrungas
Original prediction
Babrungas
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.44 | 26.0% | 21.0% | -5.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.2% | 24.4% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 1.91 | 46.8% | 54.6% | 7.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–113%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.0–211%
Predicted outcome
Babrungas
Probability
54.6%
Model confidence
54.6%
Babrungas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BFADWDWL
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BabrungasWDWLW
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BFABabrungas
50.0Attack57.6
53.0Defence89.4
54.5Form83.3
53.3Power77.5
0.83xG1.60