GGOALVIO

BFA logoBFAvsŽalgiris II logoŽalgiris II

COMPLETED

Lithuania · 1 Lyga · 3/18/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

BFA · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

BFA are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (WDL), averaging 1.67 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Žalgiris II are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 52.3 against 53.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the 1 Lyga, while BFA holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

BFA

Probability

36.8%

Model confidence

36.8%

BFA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BFAWDL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.67/1.33

BTTS 3/3O2.5 2/3
Žalgiris IID

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 0/1
BFAŽalgiris II
50.9Attack51.7
49.1Defence53.3
54.4Form51.7
52.3Power53.2
1.54xG1.45
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