Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşıvs
Sakaryaspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 2. Lig · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sakaryaspor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı 1-2 Sakaryaspor
Original prediction
Sakaryaspor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.33 | 27.1% | 32.2% | 5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.8% | 25.4% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 1.92 | 47.1% | 42.4% | -4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.92 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Sakaryaspor
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Sakaryaspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80