GGOALVIO

Turkey · 2. Lig · 9/13/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kütahyaspor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı 2-1 Kütahyaspor

Original prediction

Kütahyaspor

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.3139.0%34.3%-4.6 pts
Draw3.3427.0%27.4%0.4 pts
Away2.6434.1%38.3%4.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

4.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–29%
  3. 3.0–18%

Predicted outcome

Kütahyaspor

Probability

38.3%

Model confidence

38.3%

Kütahyaspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Beyoğlu Yeni ÇarşıDWDWD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
KütahyasporW

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 4.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Beyoğlu Yeni ÇarşıKütahyaspor
0.0Attack100.0
100.0Defence66.7
33.3Form100.0
45.3Power88.7
1.31xG1.58
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