Beykoz Anadoluvs
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 3. Lig - Group 1 · 9/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tokat Bld Plevnespor · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Beykoz Anadolu 2-2 Tokat Bld Plevnespor
Original prediction
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 50.5% | 35.1% | -15.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 27.4% | 28.3% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 4.08 | 22.1% | 36.5% | 14.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.28 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
36.5%
Tokat Bld Plevnespor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60