Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Meshakhte · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Betlemi are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Meshakhte are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Meshakhte hold a 41.7-point power-rating edge (24.1 v 65.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 83.0% in the Liga 3, while Meshakhte holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Meshakhte
Probability
83.0%
Model confidence
83.0%
Meshakhte has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20