Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Betlemi · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Betlemi are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Gardabani are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Gardabani hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (24.1 v 28.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.3% in the Liga 3, while Betlemi holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Betlemi
Probability
36.3%
Model confidence
36.3%
Betlemi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40