GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 5/13/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New England II · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Bethlehem Steel are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while New England II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and New England II hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (46.2 v 60.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.9% in the MLS Next Pro, while New England II holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New England II

Probability

47.6%

Model confidence

13.9%

New England II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bethlehem SteelLWLWD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
New England IIWDLLW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Bethlehem SteelNew England II
36.4Attack54.0
56.1Defence61.9
42.4Form61.9
46.2Power60.7
0.87xG1.39
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