Bethlehem Steelvs
Connecticut FC
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 3/15/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Connecticut FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bethlehem Steel are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Connecticut FC are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 2.50 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Connecticut FC hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (46.2 v 52.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.5% in the MLS Next Pro, while Connecticut FC holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Connecticut FC
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
12.5%
Connecticut FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 2.50/2.50